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- Today's Hunch: 8 new questions every day
- Scores with the working for every answer
- Hunch Book: last 7 days + the Nitwit Meter
- Join any league with its code
Hunch #33 is live · 8 new questions
Guess boldly.
Be wrong less.
A daily estimation game. You never give one number: you give a range you are 80% sure of. Narrow hits score big, misses score nothing, and the Nitwit Meter shows whether you are as sure as you should be.
- No account, no email
- About 3 minutes
- Every answer worked out
You roll one fair six-sided die 2 times. What is the chance, in percent, of rolling at least one six?
your range goes here → low and high, 80% sure
Answer all 8How a Hunch works
- 1
Read the question
Calendars, odds, doubling, money left to grow: every answer is worked out by arithmetic, not looked up, so it is never a trivia trap.
- 2
Bracket it
Type a low and a high you are 80% sure the answer sits between. "2 million", "3e9", "1.5k" and "45%" all work.
- 3
See where it landed
Inside your range? Up to 10 points: the tighter the bracket, the more. Outside it? Zero, and the working shows why.
Ten kinds of question. Eight a day.
Each day draws eight families at random, so no two days feel the same. Today's mix:
- CalendarDays between two dates
- ClockworkSeconds, minutes and hours
- DoublingThings that double every day
- InterestMoney left to grow
- BirthdaysShared-birthday odds
- DiceChances with fair dice
- Head mathsBig sums and products
- FoldingPaper folded in half, again
- OrdersArrangements and choices
- PackingCubes in a box
58% inside your ranges? Too sure of yourself.
Meet the Nitwit Meter
If you are really 80% sure each time, about 8 in 10 answers should land inside your ranges. The meter reads your last 40 answers:
- Overconfident fewer than 6 in 10 inside. Widen up.
- Calibrated right about where you said. Nicely done.
- Overcautious nearly all inside, but with huge ranges. Be braver.
The only nitwit here is the version of you from last week who was sure the room needed 180 people for even odds of a shared birthday. (23 is enough.)
Play with your people
Start a league, send the 8-character code to the family group chat, and everyone's daily score lands on one board. Names are generated (you might be Plucky Walrus 42), so nobody types anything and there is nothing to moderate.
Leagues- 1Breezy Otter 1761.4
- 2Dapper Teapot 8055.0
- 3Zesty Pelican 2348.2
- 4You?
Free every day. $1.95 a month for the rest.
Every feature
Network Pass
$1.95a month
or $19.50 a year (two months free)
- Practice Room: unlimited rounds in all 10 families
- Archive: every past Hunch since Oct 1, 2026
- Full history and your meter by family
- Start up to 5 leagues
- CSV export of every answer
Day Pass
$1.00once
24 hours of every Pass feature. No renewal.
- For a rainy afternoon of practice
- Or one big archive catch-up
Free during preview. Checkout is not switched on yet, so every Pass feature is open to everyone and nothing is charged. These are the prices that will apply when it is; nobody will be charged without choosing a plan first.